Tuesday, September 15, 2009

CURRENCIES: Dollar Adds To Gain After Retail Sales, Price Data


CURRENCIES: Dollar Adds To Gain After Retail Sales, Price Data

By Deborah Levine

The dollar gained versus major counterparts Tuesday, after a pair of economic reports said retail sales and producer prices rose more than economists expected, encouraging speculation that the economy is reviving.

The dollar index (DXY), a measure of the U.S. unit against a basket of rival currencies, traded at 76.936, up from 76.727 in New York trade Monday afternoon.

The dollar rose to 91.22 Japanese yen, up from 91.02 yen late Monday.

Retail sales rose 2.7%, in large part stemming from the so-called cash-for-clunkers program. Still, excluding automobiles, sales increased 1.1%.

A separate report showed wholesale prices rose 1.7% last month. Excluding food and energy, prices increased 0.2%, also more than expected.

A third report from the New York Federal Reserve Bank said its Empire State Manufacturing index rose to 18.9 in September from 12.1 in August.

"This morning's economic reports were overwhelmingly positive for the U.S. dollar with fundamentals overshadowing risk appetite," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at Global Forex Trading.

For months, the greenback has tended to move in the opposite direction as equities as investors' willingness to buy riskier assets fluctuates. That trend has shown signs of diminishing in the past month or so, and resuming its more traditional correlation to economic data.

The dollar stayed up after another report said business inventories declined 1% in July, roughly inline with expectations.

The euro traded at $1.4577, from $1.4614 versus the dollar on Monday.

The single currency came under pressure after a gauge of German investor confidence posted a weaker-than-expected rise in September, but then trimmed losses.

The Mannheim-based Center for European Economic Research, or ZEW, said its economic expectations index rose to 57.7 in September, up from 56.1 in August. Economists had forecast a rise to 59.5.

British pound

The British pound was the big mover on currency markets, dropping versus the greenback and falling to a three-month low versus the European single currency after Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said the Monetary Policy Committee was considering a cut in the deposit rate paid on some reserves held by commercial banks at the BOE.

Such a move would penalize banks for holding reserves above a certain level at the central bank, spurring them to buy bonds and other assets. That would effectively expand the central bank's quantitative-easing program, analysts said.

The pound fell 0.9% versus the U.S. dollar to $1.6428. The euro moved to its highest level against sterling since June, and changed hands in recent action at 88.77 pence.

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(END) Dow Jones Newswires

September 15, 2009 10:22 ET (14:22 GMT)

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

EURJPY retreats, unable to break above 132.20

Wed, Sep 2 2009, 03:30 GMT

The sellers we mentioned earlier at 132.20 seem to have won the first round, with EURJPY unable to move up thru that level and retreating back to 131.80. We should note that the Chinese Index has also come off its highs, now up only 0.07%. Traders are weary of a reversal back into negative territory, thus trimming risk positions.

Asian markets, mostly down following Wall Street, Euro and Pound, lower

Wed, Sep 2 2009, 06:04 GMT

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Asian stock markets are going through losses on Wednesday following a negative session in Wall Street, while Chinese stocks rose. Euro and Pound are trading at week lows after Tuesday's declines.

Japanese Nikkei Index declined 2.8%, with South Korean Kospi Index 0.7% lower. Australia's S&P Index declined 2.0% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped 1.8%. Chinese Shangai Composite Index rose 0.5%.

Banks, commodity producers and exporters have been the biggest losers in a session dominated by risk aversion, on the back of considerable declines on U.S. markets, with investors concerned about further turmoil in the banking sector, as well as in the industrial sector and in global economy.

Euro and Pound retreat to week lows

EUR/USD took a big dip on Tuesday's U.S. session, from 1.4379 high during European trading time, the Euro plunged all the way to 1.4177 on U.S. session, to consolidate during Asian trade in a range from 1.4200 to 1.4227.

GBP/USD rallied on Tuesday's Asian session to a week high at 1.4375 to drop afterwards to 1.6115 low, which so far has hold Pound's decline, and the pair attempted to appreciate reaching levels around 1.6175 ahead of the European session opening.

USD/JPY rose on Tuesday's U.S. session to 93.45, to drop later to intra-week low area at 92.50. During Asian session, the pair has launched a shy recovery attempt, reaching levels around 92.90 at the time of writing.

EUR/USD (Sep 02 at 07:33 GMT)

1.4219/23 (0.00%)

H 1.4247 L 1.4187

S3S2S1R1R2R3
1.41341.41691.42051.42251.42611.4296
[?]Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index
NeutralNeutral
Data updated on Sep 02 at 07:30 (15-minute timeframe)

[ View EUR/USD technical studies ]

EUR/USD: Euro consolidating above 1.4200

Wed, Sep 2 2009, 06:20 GMT

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Euro took a big dip on Tuesday's U.S. session, from 1.4379 high during European trading time, plunging all the way down to 1.4177 on U.S. session, to consolidate during Asian trade in a range from 1.4200 to 1.4227.

Initial resistance level lies at 1.4225 Asian session high, and, in case of further appreciation, next resistances could come at 1.4255 (Aug 31 low) and 1.4280/85 congestion area. On the downside, initial support lies at 1.4190 intra-day low, and below there 1.4175 (Sept 1 low) and 1.4155 (Aug 18 high).

EUR/GBP rose on Tuesday's European session to 0.8835 high to decline during following sessions, reaching levels around 0.8785 at the time of writing. On a wider perspective, the pair continues consolidating in a range from 0.8770 from 0.8840 after its rally from 0.8520 low on August 17. Support levels lie at 0.8770 and 0.8710. On the upside, resistance levels are 0.8840 and 0.8860.

EUR/USD (Sep 02 at 07:33 GMT)

1.4219/23 (0.00%)

H 1.4247 L 1.4187

S3S2S1R1R2R3
1.41341.41691.42051.42251.42611.4296
[?]Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index
NeutralNeutral
Data updated on Sep 02 at 07:30 (15-minute timeframe)

[ View EUR/USD technical studies ]

GBP/USD: Pound approaching 1.6200 after bouncing at 1.6115

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Sterling rallied on Tuesday's Asian session to a week high at 1.4375 to drop afterwards to 1.6115 low, which so far has hold Pound's decline, and the pair is trying ti get back to higher levels ahead of European session opening, reaching, so far 1.6190.

On the upside, the Pound could find resistance at 1.6185 (Aug 31 low), and above here, 1.6225 and 1.6280. On the downside, initial support lies at 1.6150, and below here, 1.6115 and 1.6035 (jul 14 low).

GBP/JPY reached 152.80 high on Tuesday after bouncing at 150.00, although the pair dropped later to hit a fresh two-week low at 149.15 during early Asian session, to bounce back returning above 150.00 at the time of writing. Support levels are 149.10 and 148.00. On the upside, resistance levels lie at 150.26 and 150.60.

On a wider perspective, the Pound remains trading under a downward trending line after having peaked at 163.10, 2009 high on early August.

GBP/USD (Sep 02 at 07:31 GMT)

1.6138/41 (-0.07%)

H 1.6192 L 1.6112

S3S2S1R1R2R3
1.60341.60741.61151.61641.62051.6245
[?]Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index
NeutralNeutral
Data updated on Sep 02 at 07:20 (15-minute timeframe)

[ View GBP/USD technical studies ]

USD/JPY: Dollar testing levels above 93.00

FXstreeet.com (Barcelona) - The Dollar declined from Tuesday's high at 93.45 during early U.S. session to intra-week low at 92.50 during Asian session, and the pairs gathering strength moments ahead of the European opening to test levels above 93.00 Asian session high.

The Dollar moves at the moment at levels between 92.95/93.00, where the 20 and 50 hour SMA lie, and above here, te pair could find resistance at 9.40 /45 (Sept 1 high) and 93.70/85. On the downside, support levels are 92.50/55 intra-week low, and below here, 92.35 and 92.00.

EUR/JPY rose on Tuesday from 132.15 to reach intra-week high at 134.14 on early European session and drop afterwards to hit a fresh 6-week low at 131.45. During Asian session, the Euro has picked up, reaching levels above 132.00 to test 132.00 at the time of writing. Resistance levels are 132.90/95 and 134.15. On the downside, support levels are 131.45 and 130.85.

EUR/JPY (Sep 02 at 07:29 GMT)

132.10/13 (-0.02%)

H 132.51 L 131.42

S3S2S1R1R2R3
131.23131.56131.89132.31132.64132.97
[?]Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index
Slightly BullishNeutral
Data updated on Sep 02 at 07:20 (15-minute timeframe)


Monday, August 31, 2009

Forex: EUR/USD: Euro bounces at 1.4255 and returns to 1.4285

Mon, Aug 31 2009, 07:51 GMT
http://www.fxstreet.com

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Euro has strengthened right after the European session opening and, after bouncing at 1.4255 low, the pair has returned to test previous session low at 1.4285.

In case of breaking above here, next resistance level for the Euro could be 1.4315 Asian session high, and above here, 1.4350 and 1.4390 (Aug 28 high). On the downside, support levels are 1.4250/55 (Session low), and in case of further decline, 1.4220 (Aug 27 low) and 1.4205 (Aug 26 low).

On a weekly perspective, the ecPulse.com analysis team foresees a downward correction, needed to gather momentum to assault 1.4420 resistance. "The pair is in need to decline to gather bullish momentum which is supported by the stochastic indicator. The decline we expect is nothing more than a correction to gather enough momentum before rebounding to the upside in an attempt to breach 1.4420 and maintain trading above it. Trading above 1.4035 will keep the trend to the upside yet a breach of this level may alter the short term trend."

EUR/USD (Aug 31 at 08:55 GMT)

1.4291/97 (-0.10%)

H 1.4317 L 1.4252

S3S2S1R1R2R3
1.42111.42461.42821.43081.43441.4380
[?]Trend Index[?]OB/OS Index
Strongly BullishNeutral
Data updated on Aug 31 at 08:50 (15-minute timeframe)

[ View EUR/USD technical studies ]
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